I wil be blunt: I think "the odds" are a drink of emotional poison.
No one invokes "the odds" who isn't trying to keep you from committing creativity. For one thing, your odds of succeeding immediately increase if you try succeeding. Your odds of publishing a novel, for example, are a lot higher if you write a novel.
When we believe that "the odds" are stacked against us, we are choosing to believe that "the odds" are more powerful not only than our own gifts but also than God. If the tiny mustard seed can become a tree, if the acorn can become the oak, why can't our ideas flourish into mighty manifestations?
When we see our work as an extension of God's work and not as an act of ego, it is easier to believe that there is a plan of goodness for it.
-from "Letters to a Young Artist"